Dynamic model of worm propagation in computer network

摘要

In this paper, an attempt has been made to mathematically formulate a compartmental susceptible - exposed - infectious - susceptible with vaccination (that is, anti-virus treatment) (SEIS-V) epidemic transmission model of worms in a computer network with natural death rate (which depends on the total number of nodes). The stability of the result is stated in terms of modified reproductive number R_v. We have derived an explicit formula for the modified reproductive number R_v. and have shown that the worm-free equilibrium, whose component of infective is zero, is globally asymptotically stable if R_v ＜ 1, and unstable if R_v ＞ 1. The contribution of vertical transmission to the modified reproductive number is also analyzed. Numerical methods are employed to solve and simulate the system of equations developed and interpretation of the model yields interesting revelations. Analysis of efficient antivirus software is also Derformed.