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Measurement of Capital Flight: Methodology and Results for Sub-Saharan African Countries†

机译:资本外逃的计量:撒哈拉以南非洲国家的方法和结果†

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Abstract: This paper presents the methodology for the computation of capital flight and reports new estimates of the magnitude and timing of capital flight from 33 sub-Saharan African countries from 1970 to 2004. Our methodology calculates capital flight as the residual difference between inflows and outflows of foreign exchange recorded in the balance of payments, with corrections for the magnitude of external borrowing, trade misinvoicing, and unrecorded remittances. We find that total capital flight from these countries in this period amounted to $443 billion (in 2004 dollars). With imputed interest earnings, the accumulated stock of flight capital amounted to $640 billion. These numbers exceed these countries’ external debts, which in 2004 amounted to $193 billion, indicating that sub-Saharan Africa is a net creditor to the rest of the world.
机译:摘要:本文介绍了资本外逃的计算方法,并报告了1970年至2004年间来自撒哈拉以南非洲33个国家的资本外逃的规模和时间的新估计。我们的方法将资本外逃计算为流入和流出之间的剩余差额。国际收支中记录的外汇交易额,并更正了外部借贷,贸易发票错误和未记录的汇款额度。我们发现,在此期间,这些国家/地区的资本外逃总额达4,430亿美元(以2004年的美元价值计算)。加上推算的利息收入,外逃资本的累计存量为6400亿美元。这些数字超过了这些国家的外债,2004年外债为1930亿美元,这表明撒哈拉以南非洲是世界其他国家的净债权国。

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