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Predictors of safety belt use among crash-involved drivers and front seat passengers: adjusting for over-reporting

机译:涉及撞车的驾驶员和前排乘客中安全带的使用预测器:针对过度报告进行调整

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摘要

Police-reported crash data are rarely used to investigate safety belt use and its predictors, even though these data have a number of advantages over data collected in roadside surveys. It has been widely recognized that motorists tend to over-report their safety belt use to police when mandatory belt use becomes law. In this paper, we use a logistic regression model that allows for misclassification errors in outcome variable to examine predictors of safety belt use among crash-involved drivers and front seat passengers. Our analysis shows significant associations between occupant characteristics, driving circumstances, and safety belt use. Alcohol involvement has the strongest negative association with safety belt use, but this association would be considerably underestimated without adjusting for the over-reporting of safety belt use in police-reported crash data. The adjusted belt use rate among front seat occupants with at least nonincapacitating injuries is about 8l/100, compared to 90/100 in police-reported crash data.
机译:警方报告的碰撞数据很少用于调查安全带的使用及其预测因素,尽管与路边调查收集的数据相比,这些数据具有许多优势。众所周知,当强制使用安全带成为法律时,驾驶者倾向于向警察多报安全带的使用。在本文中,我们使用逻辑回归模型(允许对结果变量进行错误分类错误)来检查与撞车有关的驾驶员和前座乘客中安全带使用的预测因素。我们的分析表明,乘员特征,驾驶环境和安全带使用之间存在显着关联。酒后驾驶与安全带使用之间存在最强烈的负相关关系,但如果不根据警察报告的碰撞数据对安全带使用的过度报告进行调整,则这种关联将被低估。至少有无伤亡事故的前座乘客中调整后的安全带使用率约为8l / 100,而警方报告的碰撞数据为90/100。

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