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Patrol evaluation research: a multiple-baseline analysis of saturation police patrolling during day and night hours

机译:巡逻评估研究:昼夜工作量饱和警察巡逻的多基线分析

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摘要

The effects of a carefully monitored and increased police patrol on the report of crime were examined in four patrol zones. Overall patrol movement was increased to four times normal levels and slow patrol movement (under 20 mph) to around 30 times normal levels for 10 days. The patrol was active in two zones between 9:00 a.m. and 5:00 p.m. and in the other two zones between 7:00 p.m. and 3:00 a.m. A multiple-baseline design and time-series statistical analyses showed statistically reliable changes in reported levels of Part I crime (such as robbery, burglary, and aggravated assault) during both night patrols, but not in the day patrols. In both night-patrol zones, there were also reliable increases from saturation patrol to postsaturation patrol in report of Part I crime after the night patrol was terminated. Neither of the day patrols showed significant crime report changes on termination. Despite statistically reliable decreases in report of crime during nighttime hours, the value of saturation patrolling as a crime-prevention technique was questioned on cost/benefit grounds.
机译:在四个巡逻区检查了仔细监视和增加的警察巡逻对犯罪报告的影响。总体巡逻运动增加到正常水平的四倍,而缓慢的巡逻运动(低于20 mph)在10天内提高到正常水平的30倍左右。在上午9:00至下午5:00之间的两个区域进行巡逻。下午7:00之间的其他两个区域以及凌晨3:00,多基线设计和时间序列统计分析显示,在两次夜间巡逻中,但在白天巡逻中,报告的第I部分犯罪(例如抢劫,入室盗窃和严重袭击)的举报水平具有统计上可靠的变化。在两个夜间巡逻区中,在夜间巡逻终止后,第一部分犯罪的报告也显示了从饱和巡逻到饱和后巡逻的可靠增加。当天巡逻均未显示终止时犯罪报告有重大变化。尽管夜间报告的犯罪报告统计上可靠,但饱和巡逻作为一种预防犯罪技术的价值受到成本/收益方面的质疑。

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