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Tests for publication bias are unreliable in case of heteroscedasticity

机译:出版物偏置的测试在异源性的情况下是不可靠的

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摘要

Regression based methods for the detection of publication bias in meta-analysis have been extensively evaluated in literature. When dealing with continuous outcomes, specific hidden factors (e.g., heteroscedasticity) may interfere with the test statistics. In this paper we investigate the influence of residual heteroscedasticity on the performance of four tests for publication bias: the Egger test, the Begg-Mazumdar test and two tests based on weighted regression. In the presence of heteroscedasticity, the Egger test and the weighted regression tests highly inflate the Type I error rate, while the Begg-Mazumdar test deflates the Type I error rate. Although all three tests already have low statistical power, heteroscedasticity typically reduces it further. Our results in combination with earlier discussions on publication bias tests lead us to conclude that application of these tests on continuous treatment effects is not warranted.
机译:基于回归用于检测在META分析中的出版物偏差的方法已被广泛评估文献中。当处理连续结果时,特定的隐藏因子(例如,异源性)可能会干扰测试统计数据。在本文中,我们研究了残余异素塑性对出版物偏置的四种测试性能的影响:Egger测试,Begg-mazumdar测试和基于加权回归的两次测试。在异源性的存在下,Egger测试和加权回归测试高度膨胀I型错误率,而Begg-Mazumdar测试缩小了I型错误率。尽管所有三个测试已经具有低统计功率,但异源性通常通常会降低。我们的结果与出版物偏见测试的早期讨论相结合,导致我们得出结论,不需要对持续治疗效果进行这些测试的应用。

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