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Epidemic Model with Isolation in Multilayer Networks

机译:多层网络中带有隔离的流行病模型

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摘要

The Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model has successfully mimicked the propagation of such airborne diseases as influenza A (H1N1). Although the SIR model has recently been studied in a multilayer networks configuration, in almost all the research the isolation of infected individuals is disregarded. Hence we focus our study in an epidemic model in a two-layer network, and we use an isolation parameter w to measure the effect of quarantining infected individuals from both layers during an isolation period tw. We call this process the Susceptible-Infected-Isolated-Recovered (SIIR) model. Using the framework of link percolation we find that isolation increases the critical epidemic threshold of the disease because the time in which infection can spread is reduced. In this scenario we find that this threshold increases with w and tw. When the isolation period is maximum there is a critical threshold for w above which the disease never becomes an epidemic. We simulate the process and find an excellent agreement with the theoretical results.
机译:易感感染恢复(SIR)模型成功地模仿了诸如A型流感(H1N1)这类空气传播疾病的传播。尽管最近已经在多层网络配置中研究了SIR模型,但是在几乎所有的研究中,都没有忽略感染者的隔离。因此,我们将研究重点放在两层网络中的流行模型中,并使用隔离参数w来测量隔离期间tw从两层隔离受感染个体的效果。我们将此过程称为“易感感染隔离恢复(SIIR)”模型。使用链接渗流的框架,我们发现隔离增加了疾病的关键流行阈值,因为减少了感染传播的时间。在这种情况下,我们发现此阈值随w和tw增加。当隔离期最大时,有一个临界阈值w,在该阈值以上疾病永不会成为流行病。我们对过程进行了模拟,并与理论结果取得了很好的一致性。

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