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A critique of the usefulness of inferential statistics in applied behavior analysis

机译:对推论统计在应用行为分析中的有用性的批评

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摘要

Researchers continue to recommend that applied behavior analysts use inferential statistics in making decisions about effects of independent variables on dependent variables. In many other approaches to behavioral science, inferential statistics are the primary means for deciding the importance of effects. Several possible uses of inferential statistics are considered. Rather than being an objective means for making decisions about effects, as is often claimed, inferential statistics are shown to be subjective. It is argued that the use of inferential statistics adds nothing to the complex and admittedly subjective nonstatistical methods that are often employed in applied behavior analysis. Attacks on inferential statistics that are being made, perhaps with increasing frequency, by those who are not behavior analysts, are discussed. These attackers are calling for banning the use of inferential statistics in research publications and commonly recommend that behavioral scientists should switch to using statistics aimed at interval estimation or the method of confidence intervals. Interval estimation is shown to be contrary to the fundamental assumption of behavior analysis that only individuals behave. It is recommended that authors who wish to publish the results of inferential statistics be asked to justify them as a means for helping us to identify any ways in which they may be useful.
机译:研究人员继续建议,应用行为分析师应使用推论统计来做出有关自变量对因变量的影响的决策。在行为科学的许多其他方法中,推论统计是确定效应重要性的主要手段。考虑了推论统计的几种可能用途。推论统计并非主客观地表明客观统计,而并非如通常所主张的那样做出关于效果的决策的客观手段。有人认为,推论统计的使用并没有增加应用行为分析中经常采用的复杂的,公认的主观非统计方法。讨论了非行为分析人员对可能越来越频繁地进行推理统计的攻击。这些攻击者呼吁在研究出版物中禁止使用推论统计,并通常建议行为科学家应改用针对间隔估计或置信区间方法的统计。区间估计被证明与仅个人行为的行为分析的基本假设相反。建议要求希望发布推论统计结果的作者证明其合理性,以帮助我们确定它们可能有用的任何方式。

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