基于线性回归方法的我国电力市场短期用电需求预测分析

摘要

文章采用一元线性回归分析法和趋势比率误差调整法,基于以往五年我国季度月度用电量数据,对未来短期内我国的用电量做出了科学的预测.解决了电力市场短期用电需求预测的实际问题.具有结果误差小,操作简便等优点.%This paper uses the linear regression analysis and trend rate error adjustments method, based on the past five years of our monthly and quarterly data, predicts China's electricity demand in the future short period. The practical problems of electricity demand of electricity market are solved with the accurate result and easy operation.