宏观经济政策对股票市场的影响研究

摘要

理论上，宏观经济通过传导机制对股票市场产生影响，从而产生联动效应。文章主要通过理论分析和实证分析相结合的方法，建立了VEC模型，就我国宏观经济政策对股票市场的走势的影响进行深入分析。结果表明，宏观经济政策对股票市场有一定的影响，但政策变量产生影响的显著程度与股票市场对政策变量的敏感度，时滞现象，观测时间长短以及市场自身波动性有关。%In theory, macroeconomic has an impact on the stock market through transmission mechanism, resulting in the connected effect. The article mainly used the method of combining theoretical analysis and empirical analysis to set up the VEC model. The influence of macroeconomic policies in China on the trend of the stock market has been analyzed deeply. The results show that macroeconomic policies have a certain impact on the stock market. However, the notable degree of the influence of policy variables is related to the sensitiveness of the stock market to policy variables, lag phenomenon, the length of the observation time and market volatility.