灰色Verhulst模型在西安市人口预测中的应用

摘要

院本文选取西安市1993-2012年人口数据，建立灰色verhulst模型对西安市未来十年人口数量做出了预测，希望本文所得结果能为西安市人口政策的制定提供参考依据，并促进西安经济和社会的健康发展。%This paper establishes grey Verhulst model to make a prediction of the population quantity of Xi'an City in next ten years by selecting the Xi'an city population data of 1993-2012 year. The results can provide reforence for Xi'an city population policy, and promote the healthy development of economy and society of Xi'an.