WTI对我国LPG市场价格的影响分析--基于大量历史数据的实证分析

摘要

近年来，我国LPG供需缺口逐年拉大，对外依存度上升明显，大量的国际贸易机会既可以填补国内需求缺口，同样也带来较多经营和市场风险，因此，合理地开展LPG进口贸易对于我国LPG市场以及经营者而言都有重要的现实意义。国际油价在LPG国际贸易成交价格形成过程中扮演着举足轻重的角色，论文基于大量历史数据，进行计量经济建模及实证分析，挖掘了WTI与国内LPG市场价格间的复杂数量关系，为LPG进口贸易的开展，为相关经营者提供参考。%In recent years, the supply and demand gap of LPG in China is bigger and bigger, the external dependency has significantly risen. A large number of international trade opportunities can fill the gap of the domestic demand, but it also brings more business and market risk. So, it has important practical significance to properly develop the import trade of LPG for LPG market and marketing managers.