中国石油需求预测方法概述

摘要

石油资源对于国家经济具有举足轻重的作用.本文运用结构分析与景气分析相结合的预测方法打开了传统研究黑箱,揭示了影响成品油需求变化的具体原因,通过这种方法可以明确石油的需求结构了解石油需求变化规律,有利于细化石油需求数据更对现实具有指导作用.%Petroleum resources play a decisive role in the national economy. In this paper, the structural analysis and prosperity analysis are combined to open the traditional research black box, revealing the specific reasons impacting the refined oil demand changes. By this method, we can understand the oil demand structure and the law of oil demand changes, which is conducive to refining oil demand data and has referential value.