提高农户收入是我国粮食补贴政策的重要目标之一，然而当前这一政策目标能否实现是一个值得探讨的问题。本文利用安徽省天长市农户的实地调研数据，运用多元线性回归模型实证检验粮食补贴政策对农户收入的影响。结果表明：（1）粮食补贴金额对农户家庭人均纯收入具有显著的负向影响，粮食补贴金额越高，农户农业生产积极性越高，非农就业时间相对越短，在非农报酬率高于农业报酬率的情况下，农户总体收入水平反而会降低。（2）农户收入更多地受到非农收入的正向影响，非农收入已经成为农户收入的主要来源。因此，要提高农户收入水平，国家应实施相应措施，推进现代农业发展，促进农业报酬率的提高，并积极采取有效措施促进农户非农就业合理发展。%Increasing farmers’income is one of the important goals of grain subsidy policy in China. However, have this policy objective realized? Does the current grain subsidy policy effectively improve the farmers’ income? It is a question worth exploring. Using the survey data in Tianchang City, Anhui Province, this study uses multiple linear regression model to empirically test the influence of the grain subsidy policy on Farmers’ income. The results show that: (1) the amount of grain subsidies has a significant negative effect on farmers’ income. The higher the amount of food subsidies, the higher farmers’ enthusiasm for agricultural production, and the relatively shorter the time for off-farm employment is. In case that Non-farm compensation rate of return is higher than agriculture, farmers overall income level will be reduced. (2) Farmers’ income is largely influenced by the positive impact of off-farm income. Off-farm income has become a major source of farmers’ income. Therefore, to improve farmers’ income level, the country should implement appropriate measures to promote the development of modern agriculture, and promote agricultural return rate. In addition, the government should take effective measures to promote the reasonable development of off-farm employment.
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