科技创新与新型城镇化发展的动态关联及其区域差异--省际面板数据的PVAR分析

摘要

Based on the provincial panel data from 2003 to 2013,made an empirical analysis of the dynamic relationship be-tween technological innovation and new urbanization by the PVAR model.The results shows that technology innovation and new urbanization is a two-way positive impact relationship with a certain lag;In the long term,new urbanization in economically developed areas and economically undeveloped areas contributes to technological innovation more than the technological innovation to new urbanization,and the situation in the economically less developed areas opposed.%基于2003-2013年的省际面板数据，运用PVAR 模型对科技创新与新型城镇化发展间的动态关联进行实证分析，结果显示：科技创新与新型城镇化之间存在双向的正向影响关系，但相互影响效应存在一定滞后性；长远来看，经济发达地区与经济不发达地区的新型城镇化对科技创新贡献大于科技创新对新型城镇化贡献，而经济次发达地区的情况却与之相反，且整体存在较大差异。