山东省能源消费与经济增长关系实证研究

摘要

通过山东省1980-2009年数据,运用协整与误差修正模型和Granger因果关系分析对其进行实证研究.建立了山东省的能源消费与经济增长关系模型,并对其进行分析.结果显示山东省的能源消费与经济增长之间存在协整关系,并且存在经济增长对能源消费的单向因果关系.%Based on the data of the energy consumption(EC) and GDP of Shandong Province from 1980 to 2009, a modle of the relationship between Shandong's energy consumption and conomic growth is built by the way of co-integration theory and error correction model and Granger causality analysis. The conclusion is that there exists a co-integration relationship between Shandong's energy consumption and economic growth, and this relationship is a one way relationship from shandongs energy consumption to its economic growth.