广西万元GDP取水量的预测方法初探

摘要

Based on analysis of historical statistical data in Guangxi, the paper analyzes the correlation between simulated values and actual values by establishing the index curve and growth curve model. The paper puts forward the calculation method of GDP at current prices conversion as the comparable price by using the model to forecast water withdrawal of ten thousand yuan GDP and water withdrawal of ten thousand yuan industrial GDP, and then evaluate the prediction results and the planning objectives to check and test the prediction analysis method can be applied.%　　文章通过广西历年统计资料数据，建立指数曲线及生长曲线模型，分析模拟值与实际值的相关性，利用模型预测万元GDP取水量和万元工业GDP取水量，提出GDP当年价换算为可比价的计算方法，对预测结果与规划目标进行评价，说明提出的预测分析方法可以推广应用。