首页> 中文期刊>农业现代化研究 >基于Probit模型的农户农业生产性废弃物弃置行为研究--以湖北省为例

基于Probit模型的农户农业生产性废弃物弃置行为研究--以湖北省为例

     

摘要

改善农村面源污染,推动农业废弃物资源化利用是环保新常态下我国农业可持续发展与生态经济建设的重要目标。基于湖北省调研数据,遵循“单因素—多因素”分析路径,采用Probit模型,分析农户将农膜、育苗袋以及农药包装物等农业生产性废弃物弃置于农田的行为,探讨其主要的影响因素。结果表明,仅有17.75%的农户会将废旧农膜、育苗袋、农药包装物收集起来卖给收购企业或回收站,其余大部分受访农户选择丢弃,更有12.75%的农户明确表示他们习惯性地将这类农业生产性废弃物随手弃置田间或耕地周边,甚至混入秸秆、畜禽粪便进行堆腐还田处理。实证分析结果表明,农户弃置行为主要受到是否加入农民专业合作社、村庄是否有废弃物集中处理设施、到最近公路的平均距离、土地质量变化、水质变化、是否参加生态农业培训以及务农时间投入等因素的影响。基于此,应积极培育农民专业合作社,加强村庄基础设施和交通设施建设,开展生态农业相关培训,强化农户环保意识,并建立相关监督制约机制,从而降低农户弃置行为发生的概率,有效改善农村生态环境。%Currently, improving rural non-point source pollution and promoting comprehensive utilization of agricultural waste are two important goals of agricultural sustainable development and ecological economic construction in China. Based on the survey data of Hubei province and applying the Probit model, this paper empirically examines farmers’ discarding behaviors of agricultural input waste (agricultural plastic iflms, breeding bags, packages of pesticide and fertilizer, etc.) and then identiifes the inlfuencing factors of their behaviors. Results of the statistical analysis of survey data show that only 17.75% of respondents hold the view that they will collect the agricultural input waste and sell them to recycle stations or acquiring companies, while the rest choose to abandon those wastes and even 12.75% among them explicitly state that they chronically discard agricultural input wastes into farmland, or mix them with straws and livestock waste returning back to the ifelds. The empirical evidences show that farmers’ discarding behaviors are influenced by their participation in specialty cooperatives, waste concentrative treatment facilities in villages, the distance to the nearest road, land quality change, water quality change, their participations in ecological agricultural training and the time invested in farming. Based on the ifndings of this research, this paper suggests to cultivate specialty cooperatives, to build village infrastructures and transport facilities, to develop ecological agricultural trainings, to enhance farmers’ awareness of environmental protection, and to establish a relevant supervisory and restrictive mechanism, thus effectively to reduce the possibility of farmers’ discarding behaviors and ameliorating the rural ecological environment.

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