中国“西进”印度洋的战略逻辑

摘要

近年来，中国在印度洋呈积极进取的战略新姿态，并初步勾画出一幅海陆相撑共进的战略大轮廓。战略利益汇聚，当代的中国已不可忽视印度洋而单纯从东亚视角或太平洋视角探讨自身的未来；且事实上，当前中国经略印度洋具备了必要的安全前提，并正迎来重大的战略机遇；同时，内在条件也日趋有利，战略能力发展、理念创新为中国经略印度洋提供了更为坚实的物质基础和强大的思想引擎。故而，相对于太平洋方向的重重阻力，“西进”印度洋，中国可望以较小的战略成本撬动巨大的战略利益。这一整体判断当是中国将印度洋纳入战略视野的核心逻辑，也是正确理解中国当前经略印度洋战略新姿态的关键所在。%In recent years,China has initiated a positive tactical move in the Indian Ocean and formulated a preliminary plan in which the land and the sea are given equal strategic importance.With regard to the strategic interests,it is no longer reasonable for the Chinese government to devise a future plan envisaging only the development in East Asia and in the Pacific Ocean,without taking the Indian Ocean into consider-ation.In fact,the external environment has provided a new strategic opportunity as well as the security premise for China's planning and controlling in the Indian Ocean,while domestically,China's development in strategic capability and strategy innovation offers a solid ground,even a relative advantage,for China's tactical planning in the Indian Ocean.Compared with the strategic moving in the Pacific,which is marked by numerous obstacles,the “Westward Strategy”will help China earn greater strategic interests at a smaller cost.This overall judgment is the core logic of China to incorporate the Indian Ocean into the strategic vi-sion,also the key to understanding the new attitude of Chinese on the current China Indian Ocean strategy.