基于IPP-PLS的'科技助力中国梦'实证研究

摘要

实现伟大复兴的中国梦是中华民族在新的历史时期的伟大愿景,以2001~2012年时间序列数据为样本,基于中国梦的本质内涵,分别从国家富强、民族振兴和人民幸福三方面构建了测度中国梦进程的指标,运用改进的投影寻踪法(IPP)测算中国梦进程指数;从科技人才、资金、创新成果和意识四方面构建了验证"科技助力中国梦"的指标,运用偏最小二乘回归(PLS)进行实证分析.结果表明,中国梦进程指数总体呈稳步增长趋势;科技四因素与中国梦进程呈正相关关系,其中高素质科技人才、R&D人员、发明专利和产权保护意识对中国梦的推动作用分别大于一般性科技人才、科技论文、R&D经费和成果转化.最后,基于实证分析结果剖析了"科技助力中国梦"的实现路径.%The great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation is called the Chinese Dream,which of the realization is great vision for China throughout in the new historical period.The time-series data from 2001 to 2010 is taken as samples.Based on the essential intension of Chinese Dream,the measure indexes of the process of Chinese Dream are established on national prosperity,rejuvenation and people''s well-being,and the improved projection pursuit method (IPP) is employed to evaluate the process index of Chinese Dream.The validation indexes of science and technology powering the Chinese Dream (STPCD) are constructed on scientific and technological talent,fund,innovative outcomes and consciousness,and the partial least squares regression (PLS) are introduced for empirical analysis.Results show,the process index present stable increasing trend.There is a positive correlation between the process of Chinese Dream and the four aspects on science and technology.The promotion of high quality talents,R&D staffs,invention patents and intellectual property protection on Chinese Dream are stronger than common talents,scientific and technical papers,R&D funds and achievement transformation,respectively.Based on empirical analysis results,the STPCD implementation path is dissected.