基于TOPSIS灰色关联投影法的高技术产业技术创新能力动态综合评价——以京津冀一体化为视角

摘要

为实现对京津冀地区高技术产业技术创新能力的动态综合评价,文章从技术创新投入、技术创新产出和技术创新环境三个方面建立评价指标体系,采用TOPSIS灰色关联投影法计算灰色关联投影贴近度,引入协调度模型评价区域协调发展水平,并进行二次加权计算.对比所得到的截面静态评价结果和面板动态评价结果,可以看出,京津冀地区高技术产业技术创新能力存在不同程度的波动和较大的地区差异,产业发展处于中度失调状态.研究认为,京津冀应努力加强区域产业合作和优势互补,推动创新资源有效配置,促进产业结构优化升级,不断缩小产业技术创新能力的地域差距,实现一体化发展.%In order to realize the dynamic comprehensive evaluation of the high-tech industry technology innovation ability of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region,this paper establishes evaluation index system from three aspects,including technology innovation input,technology innovation output and technology innovation environment,uses the TOPSIS grey relation projection method to calculate the close degree of grey relation projection,introduces coordination degree model to evaluate regional coordination development level and conducts quadratic weighted calculation.Comparing the static evaluation results of cross section and panel dynamic evaluation results,it turns out to be that the high-tech industry technology innovation ability of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region exists different degree of volatility and differences and the industry development imbalance is moderate.Research suggests that,on the one hand,Beijing should make full use of their own advantages to ensure the steady rise of the high-tech industry technology innovation ability,on the other hand,Tianjin and Hebei should maintain the continuous,healthy and stable development of the high-tech industries.Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region should strive to strengthen regional industry cooperation and complementary advantages,drive efficient allocation of innovation resources and promote the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure to gradually reduce the regional differences of industry technology innovation ability and realize the integration of development.