导弹武器系统作战效能评估模型研究

摘要

Operational effectiveness evaluation model of anti-ship missile weapon system is established.Five elements including of validity,reliability,capability,penetrability,prelaunch survivability are ensured.Two important indexes of penetration probability and percentage of hits are analyzed and studied.The emulational calculation flow of anti-ship missile penetration probability and emulator flow of missile penetration are designed.The emulational calculation flow chart of operational capability in the circumstance of electron and firepower confrontation is presented.This could have a good evaluation on the operational effectiveness of anti-ship missle,providing reference for other weapons.%建立了反舰导弹武器系统作战效能评估模型,确定了包括有效性、可信赖性、能力、突防能力和射前生存能力等5个反舰导弹作战效能要素,并重点分析研究了突防概率和命中概率这2个重要的要素指标,设计了反舰导弹突防概率仿真计算流程,为反舰导弹的作战效能评估提供了重要手段,同时也对其他武器的作战效能评估也有一定的借鉴作用.