物流与电子商务关系的实证研究

摘要

通过运用格兰杰因果检验及向量自回归等统计方法，对物流与电子商务展开相关性分析。结果表明：物流与电子商务是互为格兰杰因果关系的；在短时间内，物流的发展会对电子商务有负面的影响，而从长期来看，物流的发展会促进电子商务的发展；电子商务对物流的影响也类似。据此为物流企业与电子商务企业提出了相关建议。%In this paper, through using the Granger causality test and the vector auto-regression process, we analyzed the correlation between logistics and e-commerce, reached several conclusions concerning the relationship between the two, and then accordingly proposed the suggestions for the logistics enterprises and the e-commerce enterprises.