基于改进的灰色模型对货物周转量的预测——以云南省货物周转量为例

摘要

现代物流业作为中国现代服务业的重要组成部分，对提高国民经济运营质量、优化经济流程、调整经济结构、扩大内需、增进社会福利等都具有全局性的积极影响。它也逐渐被认为是继降低物资消耗、提高劳动生产率之后的又一重要的利润源泉。货物周转量的衡量与计算比较容易，而货物周转量与物流量之间的关系，使得时于物流周转量的预测显得十分必要。%Modern logistics is an important part of China＇s modern service industry, it has the overall positive influence on improving the operation quality of national economy, optimizing economic process, adjusting economic structure, expanding domestic demand anti promoting social welfare. It also gradually be considered as another important profit source following reduce material consumption and improve labor productivity. The freight turnover is easy to be measured and calculated, and the relationships between the freight turnover and logistics quantity, make the forecast for freight turnover is very necessary.