重大群体性事件演化影响因素的相关关系研究*--基于结构方程模型的分析

摘要

We established the relationship assumptions of key variables in the evolution of major mass events about social changes, scenar-ios stimulation of fuse event, social cognition of fuse event, and group structure and group psychology on the foundation of relevant re-search at home and aboard. Combined with mass incidents in Shishou and using questionnaire and structural equation techniques we veri-fied these assumptions and found that social changes as external structural conditions acted on fuse incident scene and social cognition, in the cognitive mediator effect made the motley crew form a temporary organized group with intensified group emotion, and promoted the e-volution of major mass invent in the course of structural transmission and mutual reinforcement between mood and behaviour.%在国内外相关研究基础上建立起重大群体性事件演化过程中社会变化、导火索事件情景刺激、导火索事件社会认知、群体结构以及群体心理等关键影响因素相关关系的理论假设，结合石首事件，借助问卷调查和结构方程技术验证假设。研究发现，社会变化作为事件的外在结构性条件作用于导火索事件情景以及公众的导火索事件社会认知，在认知中介作用下促使分散的“乌合之众冶形成暂时的“组织化冶群体，并激化群体情绪，最终在情绪与行为的结构性传导和相互强化过程中推动事件演化升级。