我国物流业与经济发展水平研究

摘要

Logistics , as the basic factor of production , is known as the source of the third profit . Undoubtedly it plays an very important role in the economic development . With the research and utilization of the data of thirty one provinces and cities of the country from 2006 to 2013 and through the stata12.0 software , this paper studies the impact of logistics development on the economy of different provinces and cities in different time . Logistics network mileage , transportation , storage and postal industry added value , freight turnover , and the product of the number of patent applications and logistics output are used as explanatory variables to measure the development of logistics industry , GDP is interpreted as a variable to measure the economic development , and the increased value of the second industry is seen as a control variable . Hausman test shows that the development of logistics industry is promoting the economic development , and the logistics industry in the eastern part of the logistics industry is more remarkable to promote economic growth . And it points out the current situation and the shortage of the logistics development in our country , and finally gives the policy suggestion .%物流作为基本生产要素，被称为第三利润的源泉。物流对经济发展毋庸置疑有着重要作用。研究利用2006－2013年的全国31省市数据，通过stata12.0软件研究不同省市在不同时间物流发展对经济产生的影响。用物流网络里程，交通运输仓储和邮政业增加值，货物周转量，专利申请数量与物流产值比的乘积作为解释变量衡量物流业的发展， GDP作为被解释变量衡量经济发展，第二产业增加值作为控制变量。Hausman检验表明物流业发展正向促进了经济发展，而且东部地区物流业发展更显著促进经济增长。并指出我国物流发展的现状以及不足之处，最后给出政策建议。