基于计量分析的河南省旅游业战略可行性研究

摘要

Based on the statistical data of Henan tourism income and GDP between 1999 and 2010,this article builds the tourism driving force model and makes a regression analysis of the collected data by means of the international advanced driving force model of construction for reference.Based on the tourism driving force model and regression analysis on the important data of Henan tourism,results shows that tourism income has a remarkable effect on the GDP growth of Henan province,and proves the feasibility and correctness of greatly developing tourism strategy,based on these results,this article briefly puts forward proposals to further promote the healthy development of tourism industry.%以河南省1999年到2010年的旅游收入、国内生产总值统计数据为基础,借鉴国际上先进的推动力模型建立了旅游业推动力模型,并对收集到的数据进行回归分析,对河南省旅游业12年来发展的一些重要数据进行了研究,分析结果证明河南省的旅游收入对河南省GDP的增长作用显著,进一步验证了河南省大力发展旅游业战略的可行性和正确性,在此基础上本文还简要提出了河南省今后进一步促进旅游业健康发展的建议。