长三角城市群经济协同发展趋势探究

摘要

Based on the statistical data of 2010,this paper analyzes the measuring economic level and economic ties and predicts the trend of Yangtze river delta cities economic development during the 12th five-year plan period.The research finds out the economic level of most of the Yangtze River Delta cities grows up continually,and the cities' balanceable development is remarkable;and the core subsystem of Shanghai,the secondary core subsystem of Nanjing and the secondary core subsystem of Hangzhou and Ningbo increase gradually ,the trend of collaborative development is good. The conclusion suggests that strengthening the docking and the contact for the core cities of the second subsystem and Shanghai city is to achieve the aim promoting the self-organizing development of the Yangtze River Delta agglomeration.%文章基于2010年统计数据实证分析长三角城市群经济能级和经济联系变化,进而预测"十二五"期间长三角城市群经济发展趋势.研究发现,"十二五"期间长三角城市群多数城市的经济能级不断提升,城市均衡化发展势头显著,且上海核心子系统、南京次级子系统和杭甬次级子系统之间的经济联系绝对量逐渐增强,城市经济协同发展趋势良好.文章建议通过加强次级子系统核心城市南京、杭甬与核心子系统城市上海的对接和联系,构建长三角城市群更为有序的自组织发展结构.