跨越个体认知偏差的情报分析策略

摘要

To probe into the individual cognitive biases in intelligence analysis, this paper constructs the cognitive structure of intelligence analysis from the perspective of cognition, analyzes the individual cognitive biases and their constituting dimensions, and associates the cognitive structure of intelligence analysis with the constituting dimensions of individual cognitive biases. The pa per then studies the types and causes of individual cognitive biases in intelligence analysis. Finally, the paper puts forward some strategies for stepping over individual cognitive biases in intelligence analysis and constructs the corresponding model so as to pro vide references for relevant research.%为了探讨情报分析中的个体认知偏差，本文从认知视角构建了情报分析的认知结构，分析个体认知偏差及其构成维度，并将情报分析的认知结构和个体认知偏差的构成维度进行关联，进而研究了情报分析中的个体认知偏差类型及其成因，最后提出了跨越情报分析中的个体认知偏差策略并构建了相应模型，以期为相关研究提供参考。