国内投资、政府消费及居民消费对中国经济增长的影响研究--基于VAR模型的实证分析

摘要

基于VAR 模型，定量研究我国国内投资、政府消费及居民消费对中国经济增长的影响及出口对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明：短期和中期内国内投资冲击对经济增长具有比较明显的影响；短期内政府消费冲击对经济增长具有明显的驱动作用；从长远看，居民消费是影响我国经济增长的首要因素，其次是国内投资。%Based on VAR model, this paper is focus on the impact of domestic investment, government consumption, household consumption and export on Chinese economic growth by the method of quantitative research. The result shows that domestic investment has appreciable impact on economic growth with both a short and long term perspective. Meanwhile, government consumption has appreciable impact on economic growth in short term and household consumption has the same effect in long term.