针对舰空导弹,基于排队论的突防概率模型,计算了伴飞诱饵支援条件下,反舰导弹的突防概率和效费比;利用火力对抗条件下反舰导弹--舰空导弹Lanchester方程,分析了伴飞诱饵对作战时效性的影响.在此基础上,研究了基于突防效果的伴飞诱饵支援条件下反舰导弹对舰空导弹的突防概率与突防期望数,分析了饱和攻击条件下,伴飞诱饵对反舰导弹突防概率及突防期望数的影响.结果表明,伴飞诱饵支援提高了反舰导弹对舰空导弹的突防概率、效费比和作战时效性.%The penetration probability and effective/cost ratio of anti-ship missile with escort freeflight decoy is calculated based on the penetration probability model of queuing theory. By using anti-ship missile to ship-to-air missile Lanchester equation, the operation time-efficiency influence of escort freeflight decoy is analyzed. Then, the penetration probability and penetration expectation of anti-ship missile with escort free-flight decoy to ship-to-air missile on the rule of penetration effect is studied. Finally, the influence of escort free-flight decoy for penetration probability and penetration expectation on the condition of saturation attack. Simulation results demonstrates that the penetration probability, effective/cost ratio and operation time-efficieney of anti-ship missile to ship-to-air missile can be improved with escort freeflight decoy.
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