Nowadays, at aerial defense combat, the air raid weapons become more and more powerful,which bring more menace to our key target. So it is badly needed to evaluate the menace ability of air raid weapons, so as to assign aerial defense power and protect our target. This paper researches the process of assessment for threat ability of aerial raid weapon, provides the arithmetic and math model under the background of modern aerial-defense combat and lacking information. The example given in the end shows the practicability of the model.%现代防空作战中,各种空袭兵器突袭能力不断增强,对我方目标构成了极大威胁.因此,需要对空袭兵器的威胁能力进行评估,合理分配各种防空火力,以达到保护我方目标的目的.研究了现代防空作战背景下,空袭兵器威胁能力评估的全过程,给出了贫信息下,威胁能力评估的算法,建立了数学模型,最后用实例说明了该评估方法的实用性.
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