Early warning satellite system is at the front edge of ballistic missile defense system, and plays an important role in leading other early warning systems and interceptor systems.Aiming at estimate of impact point,the process of early warning satellite system is analyzed.Based on space two body mechanis theory and burnout parametes,ballistic model in unpowered-flight phase and estimate model of impact point considering earth rotation are established.the simulation results showed that the models are effective and accurate.%预警卫星系统在弹道导弹防御系统中处在最前沿,对其他预警系统和拦截系统起着重要的引导作用。从导弹落点预报功能出发,分析了预警卫星系统的作战流程,根据空间二体力学原理,依据预警卫星系统提供的关机点参数,构建了导弹被动段的弹道模型和考虑地球自转影响的落点预报模型,通过仿真分析,验证了该模型的有效性和准确性。
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