军事联盟的形成机制与对策

摘要

国家间的对抗与合作是国际关系中的最常见的问题，通过引入博弈论中的讨价还价模型和差分方程，分析了联盟的形成机制，并对三国合作、三国竞争以及三国部分合作对抗的情况进行了比较，通过数值仿真对模型分析过程进行了验证，仿真结果表明，不同类型国家的策略选择对博弈结果影响很大，研究内容较好地揭示了国家间矛盾与利益的变化规律，为深入理解国际关系提供了参考。%Confrontation and cooperation among countries is the common problem on international relation.Based on bargaining model of game-theoretic and difference equations,the paper analyzes the mechanism of formation of military alliance,and compare the confrontation and cooperation among three countries,and test model analyst by numerical simulation.The simulation and analysis tesults prove strategy selection of different countries have a far-reaching influence to game result.The content reveal well change rule of contradiction and interest among countries,as well as this would provide reference to understand international relation.