基于矩估计的高原航空备件消耗规律研究

摘要

Aiming at resolving the problem that the consumption rule of aircraft spares in plateau is difficult to master,a method which uses to solve consumption forecast of low consumption aircraft spares is put forward. Firstly,the paper uses moment estimation method to master the consumption rule of aircraft spares. Secondly,it uses Monte Carlo method to simulate the consumption of aircraft spares aim to found out the relationship of storage and satisfaction rate. Finally,the yearly average consumption is forecasted.%针对高原航空备件消耗规律难把握的问题,提出了一种解决低消耗器材消耗预测的方法,利用矩估计把握器材的消耗规律和Monte Carlo仿真器材消耗的数据,找出储备量与满足率之间的关系,预测年平均消耗量.