装备平行仿真中演化建模框架研究

摘要

As an emerging technology in military simulation domain, equipment parallel simulation has been research emphasis. Based on introducing application demands and theory cause, evolutional modeling problem of equipment parallel simulation is discussed. An equipment degradation state space model based evolutional modeling framework of remaining useful life prediction oriented parallel simulation is put forward to realize model online selection, model output revision and model parameter online estimation, providing a reference for establishing equipment remaining useful life prediction oriented parallel simulation prototype system.%装备平行仿真技术是军用仿真领域的新兴技术,已成为研究前沿和热点.在介绍其应用需求和理论缘起的基础上,探讨了装备平行仿真技术中演化建模问题.在面向装备剩余寿命预测的平行仿真中,提出以装备退化状态空间模型为基础预测模型的演化建模框架,实现模型在线适宜性更替、模型输出校正和参数在线估计,为开发面向装备剩余寿命预测的平行仿真原型系统提供了技术思路.