空间信息系统在弹道导弹防御中的效能评估框架

摘要

针对空间信息系统在弹道导弹防御(BMD)中的效能评估问题,从系统整体性和复杂性角度提出了空间信息系统在BMD中的效能评估框架.该框架主要包括整体性分析、综合集成以及结果分析3个部分.在整体性分析中,通过系统学模型确定导弹防御的边界、要素集和关系集.在综合集成中,应用基于Agent的建模与仿真方法对系统要素进行建模,并对空间信息系统要素及与之相关的关系、空间信息系统Agent的模型结构、各个Agent之间的关系以及行为规则进行了分析,为空间信息系统在导弹防御中的效能评估提供参考.%Aiming at effectiveness evaluation of space information system in Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD), the effectiveness evaluation framework of space information system in BMD was proposed from the perspective of holism and complexity. The framework mainly included holistic analysis, metasynthesis and result analysis. In the part of holistic analysis, the boundary, ingredient set and relation set of BMD were determined by systematology model. In metasynthesis, the ingredient models were established by agent-based modeling and simulation method. The space information system ingredients, their relations, the model structure of space information system Agent,the relation among them and their behavior rules were analyzed. It provides a reference for effectiveness evaluation of space information system in BMD.