基于置信规则库和证据推理的空中目标意图识别方法

摘要

Aerial target intention recognition is an important part of the battlefield situation assessment,which is directly related to the operational decision-making of the commanders.However,the target's information measured in a complicated combat field is from multiple sources and involves many uncertain factors.In this paper,an aerial target intention recognition approach is proposed based on Belief-Rule-Base (BRB) and Evidential Reasoning (ER).Firstly,a new target intention recognition model based on BRB-ER for multisource information fusion is presented.Then,a multi-parameter optimization model is established to optimize the initial parameters for improving the recognition precision.Finally,a case study is examined to validate the efficiency of the proposed approach.The result shows that it can recognize the aerial targets' intentions precisely.%空中目标意图识别是战场态势评估的一个重要部分,它直接关系到指挥员的作战决策.针对复杂战场环境下目标信息的多源性和不确定性,提出了一种基于置信规则库(BRB)和证据推理(ER)的目标意图识别方法.首先,建立了一种新的融合目标多源信息的BRB-ER意图识别模型;其次,建立了多参数优化模型优化系统初始参数,以提高识别精度.最后,采用某舰艇实际测得的目标信息对该方法进行了验证,结果表明,提出的方法能有效对空中目标意图进行识别.