基于参数优化的超短期负荷预测调整策略

摘要

Sichuan electric power scheduling and control center has used the Grid power Real-Time command system.The system can meets the demand for the adjustment of power generation unit's load,but it can't achieve Automatic correction of plan curve,and the function of adjusting real-time output with the change of liaison line load.In this paper,through analysis of optimization strategy for model parameter, proposes an ultra short term Load Forecasting plan.%四川省电力公司调度控制中心目前已部署使用了四川并网发电厂实时调令系统,但该系统仅满足对发电单元负荷进行调整的需求,却无法实现计划曲线自动修正、对应联络线负荷变化调整实时出力的功能.本文通过对模型参数优化策略进行分析,提出了一套超短期负荷预测方案.