Based on the Dynamic Monitoring&Survey Data on the Migrant Population in 2010 of China, we have, in this paper, divided whole occupations of new generation migrant population into five categories, evaluated educational returns of different occupation by Mincer equation and further analyzed determinant factors affecting occupation mobility. The results are as follows,occupation educational returns exit heterogeneity. That most of the new generation migrant workers occupied occupations of low educational returns is an important reason for new generation migrant workers trapping in low educational returns circle. What's more, education is a key factor for occupation upward mobility. Therefore, we should break the vicious circle of low education level of migrant workers work in low-end jobs with low educational returns, establish aperfect occupation mobility job market, and then improve the educational returns of new generation migrant workers, thus finally promote the urbanization of the new generation migrant workers by raising their educational levels%本文基于2010年流动人口动态监测数据,将新生代农民工从事的职业分为5大类,使用明瑟方程估算了各类职业的教育回报率,并进一步分析了影响职业流动的决定因素.研究发现:新生代农民工职业间教育回报率存在差异,更多新生代农民工就业于低教育回报率职业是导致该群体教育回报率不高的重要原因.进一步研究发现,受教育水平是制约新生代农民工向高教育回报率职业流动的重要条件.因此,要打破低教育水平农民工只能从事低端职业,进而教育收益更低这一恶性循环,应建立一个职业流动无障碍的劳动力市场,提升新生代农民工的教育回报率,最终通过提升其教育水平来促进该群体的市民化.
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