基于测试的作战仿真模型可信度研究

摘要

在研究仿真可信度的基础上,提出了作战仿真模型可信度的概念,以及基于模型测试的作战仿真模型可信度分析方法,对模型测试方法、模型测试结果的分析方法和影响作战仿真模型可信度的因素进行了深入探讨.重点讨论了将测试过程、测试分析贯穿于作战仿真模型的建模过程中,以达到提高作战仿真模型可信度的目的.提出了模型构建过程的模型可信度控制策略和基于模型测试的可信度控制策略,为作战仿真模型的开发提供可信度控制的依据,为已建立的作战仿真模型的可信度评估提供可操作的方法和手段.%Based on the study on simulation credibility, the concept of the combat simulation model credibility is presented firstly in this paper. Then, the influencing factors are discussed, and the method of model test and results analysis is also stated. Finally, the paper introduced a method of combat simulation credibility analysis based on the model test. A control strategy of model credibility is studied to provide a credibility control method for the development of combat simulation model and also a method for the credibility evaluation of combat simulation model.