反导火力单元空间杀伤区内拦截概率研究

摘要

Interception probability is an important index to evaluate the effectiveness of anti-missile operations,and is critical to pre-war mission planning.Select an interceptor to establish its reachable area in the space,for the situation of midcourse anti-missile in the retrograde rail to intercept,determine its kill area in space.For any case where the kill area may be an intercept point,for a trajectory of a incoming missile,select the theoretical interceptor on the arc to intercept.So as to obtain the intercept point in the killing area of different height,different distance and at different intersection angle on the impact of the probability of intercept by selecting different height on the theoretical intercept point and adjusting the launch of the interceptor position.It provides a reference for the deployment and tactics of the deployment of anti-missile operations.%拦截概率是评价反导作战效能的重要指标,对交战前任务规划至关重要;选取某一拦截弹建立其在空间的可达集区域,针对中段反导逆轨拦截情况,确立其在空间中的杀伤区;针对杀伤区内任一点可能为拦截点的情况,对某一来袭导弹的弹道轨迹,选取可拦截弧段上的理论拦截点,通过在选取不同高度上的理论拦截点上,调整拦截弹的发射位置,从而得到拦截点在杀伤区内不同高度,不同距离以及在不同的交汇角时对拦截概率的影响;为反导作战的阵地部署研究和交战策略提供了一定的参考.