基于系统动力学的弹药采购量动态冲击模型与仿真研究

摘要

针对未来战场对弹药需求动态、突发、受任务冲击影响大的特点,建立了动态冲击下弹药采购量的系统动力学因果关系图和系统流图,并进行仿真实验.分析了弹药需求与生产缺口量对生产能力的冲击程度,为应对未来战争弹药需求提供科学决策的方法.%With respect to the characteristics of the ammunition imposed by the future war that ammunition is decided by the current necessity, outbreak and influence of the tasks, the paper establishs ammunition purchase quantity causal graph and system flow diagram of dynamic impact based on system dynamics, and makes the simulation experiment. Analysis of gap in demand and production of ammunition production capacity of the impact on the degree, to the future war to provide a scentific decision-making method.