小口径速射舰炮受弹鼓容量及舰炮发射系统限制,一般不能在舰炮武器系统有效射击范围内全航路持续射击,这就要求对射击方法进行研究.应用蒙特卡洛法,在MATLAB软件平台上计算了小口径速射舰炮武器系统对匀速直线运动导弹的命中概率与弹丸相遇点距离间的关系,提出了以全航路最大概率命中导弹有效部位为基础制定射击终止点,反推射击起始点的射击方法,提高了舰炮武器系统在全航路射弹数限定条件下的命中概率;以舰炮武器系统跟踪器最大跟踪角速度限制因素为例,分析了导弹运动速度、航路捷径与射击区域的对应关系,并应用本方法对导弹典型航路的射击方案进行了仿真.仿真结果表明该方法在一定条件下能有效提高舰炮武器系统对导弹的全航路命中概率.%The magazine capacity and the launch system of naval gun are limit the minor-caliber rapid-firing naval gun to full-track continuous firing in the effective firing range of the naval gun weapon system, so we study the firing method. By means of Monte Carlo calculated the relationship between hit probability of minor-caliber rapid-firing naval gun weapon system on the missile of constant velocity movement and the distance of bullet meeting point in MATLAB. Based on full-track maximum probability hit the effective place of missile to set firing ending, to deduce firing beginning was presented and the method improved the hit probability of naval gun weapon system under the ammunition's limiting condition. Take the limiting factor of tracker's maximum tracking angular velocity as an example to analysis the relation of missile moving speed and track shortcut and firing area. And adopt this method to simulation the fire method of typical track of missile. Simulation results show that the method can effective increase full-track hit probability of naval gun weapon system on missile below some conditions.
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