作战仿真实验中的实验参量空间分析

摘要

In order to tackle the complexity of the experiment factors space of warfighting simulation experimentation, this thesis discusses three kinds of experiment factors space of warfighting simulation experimentation from an angle of exploring analysis, introduces the main factors space for decision-making, capability and environment in detail, and gives relevant examples by BNF based on simulation engineering practice. For the simulation analysis and experimentation of war complex system, designing the scenario factors for simulation experimentation according to the three kinds of experiment factors space would better define the exploring factors, optimize the experiment points, and help to achieve the experiment results and research conclusions and to understand the complex causes and effects in it.%针对作战仿真实验中想定空间变量的复杂性,以探索性分析为视角,分析了作战仿真实验中的三类实验参量空间,详细介绍了决策参量空间、能力参量空间、环境参量空间的各种关键性参量,并结合仿真工程实践给出了相应的BNF形式化示例.对于战争复杂系统的仿真分析和实验,按照这三类参量空间对想定变量进行仿真实验设计,可以较好地确定探索性要素,优化其取值组合,并有助于得出实验结果和研究结论,认识和把握其中交织的复杂因果关系.