In order to analyze the effectiveness of anti-submarine warfare patrol aircraft using Homing depth charge and MAD, the effectiveness evaluation model based on Monte Carlo was designed. First, based on the anti-submarine coordinates, shoot-depth of sequential bomb-dropping was defined, and locating principle of MAD, a target located method by peak value track was proposed, and was confirmed by the simulation results; Then, the distribution of guided depth charge and submarine targets directed by MAD. was given; the anti-submarine effectiveness was simulated according to the operation process of guided depth charge and hit qualification; Finally, according to the results of the simulation, the bomb-dropping interval in multi-bomb-dropping was proposed, the major factors effecting on the effectiveness were analyzed, and this method was confirmed.%针对反潜巡逻机使用磁探仪和自导深弹的攻潜效能研究,提出了一种基于蒙特卡洛法的计算模型.在建立攻潜坐标系的基础上,给出了连投深弹射击深度的定义;结合磁探仪定位原理,提出了基于峰值追踪的定位目标和连投攻击的方法.仿真结果表明,该方法能够提高命中概率.给出了目标分布和连投深弹的散布模型,根据攻潜过程和命中判定条件,进行了攻潜效能的计算,并仿真分析了影响攻潜效能的主要因素,研究了投弹间隔的确定方法.
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