舰炮拦截靶弹试验的安全性分析

摘要

为充分考核末端反导舰炮武器系统的反导能力,结合末端反导舰炮武器系统拦截靶弹需求对威胁概率进行了分析,提出了相关计算模型,并给出了相应的计算结果.其思路及算法不仅直接适用于末端反导舰炮拦截靶弹的安全分析,对其它武器装备试验及训练的安全分析也具有一定的参考价值.%According to the demand of closing-in Naval gun system intercepting target missile test,this article analyzes the threat probability,brings forward a series of calculating models,and gets the threat probability results in detail.the thoughts and the methods is not only applicable to the safety analysis of the navy gun intercepting target missile,but also valuable to the safety analysis of other weapon sustems in testing and training.