The required ammunition consumption for ship⁃to⁃air missile to kill target is a random variable, the average re⁃quired ammunition consumption evaluation method is proposed, the average required ammunition consumptions to kill single target, dense targets and thin targets are calculated. A case study shows that the proposed method is simple, and can be used to support the missile fire operation.%舰空导弹毁伤目标所需的弹耗量是一个随机变量,提出了舰空导弹毁伤目标所需的平均弹耗量计算方法,计算舰空导弹毁伤单个目标、疏散目标、密集目标所需的平均弹耗量。示例分析表明,该计算方法简便易行,可为舰空导弹火力运用提供决策支持。
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