基于离散事件仿真要素的军事仿真因果追溯方法

摘要

Warfare simulation system based on discrete events modeling plays a very important role in the military planning stage. The traceability and analysis of causality is a significant strategy in warfare simulation, which could explore the devel⁃opment of the battle and the causality of it, in order to reveal the sequential relationship from large volumes of data and com⁃plex interaction relationships and then help the researchers to identify certain key objects and events. This paper would first introduce the causal analysis in the field of warfare simulation, and then propose a particular kind of causal analysis, based on the simulation elements of discrete events. This method, known for its universality and practicability, could analyze the causal relationships in warfare simulation.%基于离散事件系统建模与仿真的军事仿真系统在军事筹划阶段扮演着至关重要的作用。因果追溯与分析是军事仿真中重要的技术，它可以在大量的数据与复杂的交互关系中找出时序上的关联关系，帮助研究人员确定作战行动中的一些关键实体或事件，用于探究战争的发展脉络与蕴含其中的因果关系。首先对作战仿真领域的因果追溯分析做了简要介绍，然后提出了一种基于离散事件仿真要素的因果追溯分析方法，这种方法可以分析军事仿真中的因果关系，并且有很高的通用性和良好的实用性。