针对反恐作战能力评估中模糊性和随机性并存的特点,引入云模型的概念,探索一种可行的反恐作战能力评估方法.首先在综合分析武警部队遂行反恐作战任务特点、处置原则、力量编成的基础上,给出基于云模型的反恐作战能力评估框架,研究了指标提取、指标体系构建和指标赋权方法,进而提出一种基于U-GFCM(Uniform-Gaussian Cloud Model)的评估方法,实例分析表明该方法能够对分队反恐能力给出科学直观的评价结论.%The current method of counter-terrorism assessment are fuzzy and random. The cloud models could help to identity a feasible method to assess the counter-terrorist combat capacity. Firstly, the paper analyzes the traits of combat mis-sions, the principle of disposal and the compositions of the combat power during the Armed Police Forces conducting tasks. Then, the counter-terrorism assessment framework is introduced. It analyzes the methods of indices extraction, index system establishment and index weighting. As a result, an assessment method of the counter-terrorism capacity based on Uniform Gaussian Cloud Model is proposed. Furthermore, the example studies verify that U-GCM could give a scientific and intuitive conclusion of the counter-terrorism capability in a PAP unit.
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