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China's Export Expansion, Export Structure and Energy Consumption

机译:中国的出口扩大,出口结构和能源消耗

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Since the reform and opening up, China's export trade has maintained a rapid growth; meanwhile, China's energy consumption has been increasing sharply. "High export and high energy consumption" has become the feature of China's trade and economic development. In this paper, based on the input-output analysis approach, the authors have conducted an empirical study on the export trade and energy consumption of 21 trade industrial sectors. The results show that, China is a big net exporter of embodied energy. Assuming that the export growth rate of embodied energy maintains to be about 23.6%, the average annual growth rate of the past 32 years, and based on the input-output data of 2005, by 2030 China's net export of embodied energy would be over eight times more than the aggregate energy production, which is obviously infeasible. As a country of very low per capita en- ergy, China must change its export pattern, encourage or restrain the export of different industrial sectors according to their energy consumption intensity, and promote structural change of energy- efficient exported products, so as to achieve the sustainable development. Accordingly, the authors put forward some suggestions.
机译:改革开放以来,中国出口贸易一直保持较快增长。同时,中国的能源消耗急剧增加。 “高出口,高能耗”已成为中国贸易和经济发展的特征。本文基于投入产出分析方法,对21个贸易工业部门的出口贸易和能源消耗进行了实证研究。结果表明,中国是体现能源的大净出口国。假设隐性能源的出口增长率保持在过去32年的平均年增长率约23.6%,根据2005年的投入产出数据,到2030年中国的隐性能源净出口将为超过总能源产量的八倍以上,这显然是不可行的。作为一个人均能耗很低的国家,中国必须改变其出口方式,根据其能源消耗强度鼓励或限制不同工业部门的出口,促进高能效出口产品的结构变化,以实现可持续发展。因此,作者提出了一些建议。

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